Prior Client Letters

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December 2006 The Economic Outlook - - Soft Landing at Hand
October 2006 The Economic Outlook - - Soft Landing Ahead
August 2006 Talking Points - - Summer 2006 Update
July 2006 The Economic Outlook - - Slower Growth Ahead
(click here for graph)
May 2006 University of Chicago GSB 54th Annual Management Conference - 2006
(click here for cover letter )
March 2006 The Economic Outlook - - Mid-Cycle Slowdown Ahead
(click here for graph)
January 2006

The Economic Update - - Winter 2006
(click here for cover letter )

December 2005

The Economic Outlook - - Momentum Regained
(click here for graph)

September 2005

The Economic Update - - Fall 2005

June 2005 The Economic Outlook - - Mixed Signals
(click here for graphs)
April 2005 University of Chicago GSB 53rd Annual Management Conference - 2005
March 2005 The Economic Update - - Business Drives Expansion
January 2005 The Economic Outlook - - Corporate Investment Leads (click here for graph)
November 2004 The Economic Outlook - - Beyond The "Soft Patch" (click here for graph)
September 2004 The Economic Outlook - - Gaining Traction or Stagflation? (click here for graph)
July 2004 The Economic Outlook - - Downshifting to Sustainable Growth (click here for graph)
May 2004 Presentation at the 52nd Annual University of Chicago GSB Management Conference
(click here for outline of Marshall Front's remarks)
April 2004 The Economic Outlook
(click here for model)
February 2004 The Economic Outlook - - Firing On All Cylinders
January 2004 The Economic Outlook - - A Virtuous Cycle
(click here for model)
November 2003

Economic Update - - Momentum Is Building

October 2003

The Economic Outlook - - Job Growth Begins

August 2003 The Economic Outlook - - Growing Confidence
(click here for model)
June 2003 The Economic Outlook
(click for earnings yield, click for asset class chart)
March 2003 2003 Economic and Market Update
(click here for earnings chart, click here for Exhibit B)
December 2002 The Economic Outlook - - Confidence Is The Key
(click here for model, click here for asset class chart)
October 2002 The Economic Outlook (click here for earnings yield)
August 2002 The Outlook: No Double Dip - - Tilting Toward Growth
July 2002 The Economic Outlook
(click here for model, click here for asset class chart)
May 2002 University Of Chicago GSB Mid-Year Economic Forecasting Conference - 2002
(click here for model, click here for asset class chart )
May 2002 Economic Model Update (click here for model)
April 2002 The Economic Outlook - - Gaining Traction
(click here for model)
March 2002 Economic Model Update (click here for model)
February 2002 The Economic Outlook - - Recovery At Hand
January 2002 Economic Model Update (click here for model)
January 2002 Notes On The Outlook in Early January, 2002
December 2001 The Economic Outlook - - Calling The Turnaround
October 2001 The Economic Outlook
September 2001 Comments On Terrorist Attacks
August 2001 The Economic Outlook - - Straws In The Wind
June 2001 Mid-Year Economic Update - - Business Recovery Ahead
May 2001 University Of Chicago GSB Mid-Year Economic Forecasting Conference - 2001
March 2001 The Economic Outlook - - Stay The Course
January 2001 The Economic Outlook - - Skirting Recession
December 2000 The Economic Outlook - - Fed Easing Ahead
September 2000 The Economic Outlook - - The Fed is Done
August 2000 The Business Outlook: Slowing Consumer Spending
May 2000 Economic Outlook - - Soft Landing Ahead
March 2000 Economic Outlook: "Old-Economy vs. New Economy": Remember The Fundamentals
January 2000 2000 Update
January 2000 2000 Investment Comment
December 1999 The Economic Outlook: Strong Momentum Heading Into 2000: Remember The Fundamentals
October 1999 Economic Update: Fall Market Jitters
September 1999 The Economic Outlook: Fed Hawks and Doves
June 1999 The Economy at Mid-Year: Interest Rates and the Financial Markets
May 1999 Economic Outlook: The Accommodative Fed
March 1999 Investment Policy: More on Growth vs. Value
January 1999 Investing Toward the Millennium and Beyond
January 1999 Inflation, Lessons from History, The Euro and Growth vs. Value
December 1998 The Economic Outlook
September 1998 Business Outlook--Lower Rates and a Soft Landing Ahead
July 1998 The Economy at Mid-Year
June 1998 The Justice Department vs. The Bull Market?
May 1998 Economic Outlook--The Wealth Effect
March 1998 The Economic Outlook--No Recession in Sight
January 1998 The Outlook for 1998
November 1997 Asean Flu
September 1997 The Economic Outlook-- Solid Growth Ahead
June 1997 The Economic Outlook--Big Picture Remains Favorable
April 1997 The Business Outlook--Eyeing the Big Picture
February 1997 Portfolio Strategy--Stay the Course
January 1997 The Economy and Financial Markets: Irrational Exuberance?
November 1996 Current Investment Strategy--Stay the Course
October 1996 Economic Expansion Continues: No End Yet In Sight
September 1996 Business Outlook: Corporate Profits Growth Will Slow
August 1996 Financial Market Update--Favorable Outlook Continues
July 1996 The Mid-Year Outlook: Slower Growth Ahead
May 1996 Financial Market Update
April 1996 Economic Outlook: U.S. Growth Picking Up
February 1996 The Economy: Flirting With Recession
December 1995 The Business Outlook: Continued Sluggish Growth Through Mid 1996
November 1995 The Economic Outlook
September 1995 Implications of a Stronger Dollar
August 1995 Comments on Portfolio Strategy
May 1995 U.S. Stock Market Comments



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